| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 52% | 42¢ | 51¢ | — | $85 | Trade → |
| Kansas City | 64% | 49¢ | 59¢ | — | $74 | Trade → |
This is a binary market on KALSHI for the matchup listed as Texas vs Kansas City, offering two outcomes (one for each team). It matters because the market aggregates trader expectations about which team will be declared the winner under the contract’s settlement rules.
Background depends on the specific sport and league referenced in the contract (check the market’s description for whether this is baseball, football, soccer, etc.). Historical head-to-head records, recent form, and roster changes between the two teams typically shape expectations; event-specific details such as start time, venue, and official competition rules determine how the result is decided and when the market will settle. Because the contract closes TBD, traders should monitor the page for a listed start/close time and any changes from the organizer.
Market odds reflect the collective trading activity and update as participants incorporate new information (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.); they are a consensus signal rather than a guaranteed forecast. Use them alongside sport-specific analysis and the contract’s resolution terms to inform decisions.
The two outcomes correspond to the two teams labeled 'Texas' and 'Kansas City' on the contract. Review the market description for any special language about ties, draws, or whether the contract counts only regulation results.
The market currently lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI will typically update the contract page with the scheduled start and official close time before trading ends. Subscribe to alerts or refresh the market page to catch the posted close time.
Settlement depends on the contract wording specific to this market. Some contracts specify 'final official result' (including extra time/extra innings), while others specify 'regulation' only. Read the contract’s resolution clause to know which applies.
Resolution in those cases follows the market’s stated contingencies: common outcomes are settlement after the official completion, settlement based on the recorded forfeit, or cancellation/refund if the event doesn’t meet required completion criteria. Check the contract’s force majeure and postponement rules for the definitive policy.
Low traded volume indicates fewer participants and can mean prices are more sensitive to individual trades or late news. Treat the market signal as informative but potentially noisy; complement it with sport-specific research (lineups, injury reports, weather, and venue) before making trading decisions.