| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Virginia wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Virginia wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Virginia wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Virginia wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the first-half point spread between Tennessee and Virginia; it matters because first-half performance can differ from full-game outcomes and is highly sensitive to early-game matchups and coaching decisions.
Tennessee and Virginia are programs whose styles, rotations, and recent form shape how the opening 20–30 minutes play out; differences in tempo, defensive schemes, and personnel availability often determine whether one team establishes an early edge. Historical head-to-head results and each team's season-long first-half scoring and defensive splits offer useful context but can shift with roster changes and matchup-specific factors.
Market prices reflect collective expectations for the first-half point margin and will move as new information (injuries, starters, weather/venue) arrives; interpret prices as a snapshot of that consensus rather than a fixed prediction.
The platform administrator (KALSHI) sets the market close time for this event; it commonly closes at or just before the official start of the first half—check the event page for the exact closing timestamp and any last-minute updates.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete first-half spread brackets or result categories (for example, ranges where Tennessee leads, Virginia leads, or the half is tied); the winning outcome is determined by the official first-half score margin as recorded by the league.
Late injury or starter announcements can materially change first-half expectations; monitor official team reports and media beat updates, and consider adjusting positions or using smaller, targeted trades to hedge as the market re-prices.
Past first-half outcomes provide context—look at recent head-to-head halves and each team’s season first-half scoring/defense—but treat them as one input among current roster, coaching strategy, and matchup-specific trends, since personnel and tactics evolve.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s event rules: typically the official half-time score recorded by the league determines the outcome, and if the game is suspended or not completed the platform’s cancellation, suspension, or voiding policies will apply—consult the event rules for specifics.