| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brooklyn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Utah | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Milwaukee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlotte | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles L | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific team will be drawn as the winner of the draft lottery; it matters because the lottery winner typically receives the highest available pick and that outcome can materially change a franchise's draft plans and future roster trajectory.
Draft lotteries use a mix of deterministic rules and randomness to assign top draft positions among teams that qualify; league-specific rules (odds distribution, protections, and eligible teams) shape who can win. Historical outcomes show both favorites and long shots prevail, and recent rule changes or trade activity can alter the pool of eligible teams ahead of the draw.
Market prices reflect the collective market view of which team is most likely to be drawn, updated as new information arrives; they are not guarantees and settlement follows the official league result for the lottery.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific team that could be officially awarded the lottery’s top pick under league rules; the set of 18 reflects the teams eligible at the time the market was created, but ownership and protections can modify which team actually receives the pick on lottery night.
TBD indicates the marketplace has not fixed a trading cutoff; in practice trading typically ends before the league’s official lottery drawing or at a time announced by the platform, so watch platform notices for the closing time and the marketplace’s settlement procedures.
Verify the current legal owner of the pick and any protections in public transaction records and team announcements, because a pick that appears to belong to one franchise may be protected or owed to another, which directly affects which market outcome will pay out.
Historical results provide context about variability and how often lower-odds teams have prevailed, but the lottery contains substantial randomness and rule changes over time; use history to inform expectations, not as a certainty.
Settlement follows the official league determination tied to the lottery event: the outcome that matches the team officially awarded the pick at the time of the lottery draw (or as defined in the market rules) is the one that pays out; always check the market’s rulebook for the precise settlement reference.