| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| St. John's | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michigan St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| UConn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Purdue | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iowa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nebraska | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Illinois | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tennessee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iowa St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michigan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which single team will score the most points during the semifinals phase of the competition. It matters because it isolates offensive performance in a high-stakes round and aggregates market expectations about matchups, pace, and player availability.
Semifinals typically feature the highest-pressure games before a final, and scoring patterns can differ from regular-season play due to matchup-specific strategies, coaching adjustments, and player rotation changes. Historical semifinal games sometimes produce higher or lower point totals than regular-season averages depending on pace, defensive focus, and whether one game becomes a blowout or goes to overtime.
Market odds reflect the consensus view of traders about which team is most likely to post the single highest point total in the semifinals; they will move as reliable new information arrives (injuries, confirmed lineups, etc.). Always check the market page for settlement rules and any event-specific definitions before trading.
The 16 listed outcomes correspond to the pool of teams eligible to appear in the semifinals; the market page shows the current list. Final entries and any changes are reflected on the market page as tournament brackets are set or when the market creator updates the market.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the page; typically markets for single-game performance close before the first semifinal tip-off or at a platform-specified cutoff. Trades executed before the official close will be matched; information arriving after close generally cannot be acted on in that market.
The phrase refers to the single team that records the highest point total in the semifinal stage (usually the highest points in any semifinal game). Settlement follows official game statistics and the platform’s stated tiebreaker rules—check the Kalshi market description for the exact tie-resolution procedure.
Late-breaking items that strongly move prices include announced injuries or clearances on key scorers, confirmed starting lineups, coach statements about rotations, and any unexpected scheduling or venue changes; such updates directly alter expected point production.
Use historical semifinal scoring to identify patterns—teams that consistently score more in postseason play, styles that translate to higher scoring in knockout rounds, and how matchups affected past outputs—while weighting recent form, roster changes, and current matchup context more heavily than distant history.