| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baltimore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Buffalo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carolina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Denver | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Green Bay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indianapolis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacksonville | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Las Vegas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles R | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Minnesota | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New England | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York G | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York J | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pittsburgh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Francisco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tampa Bay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which NFL team will select quarterback Ty Simpson in the draft. It matters because it aggregates market expectations about team needs, draft position, and pre-draft information for a single high-profile prospect.
Ty Simpson is a quarterback prospect entering the NFL draft process; the market currently lists 32 team outcomes (one per NFL franchise) and closes TBD. Draft outcomes are shaped by pre-draft evaluations (film, workouts, medicals), team positional needs, and draft-day trades, so expectations can shift quickly as new information and trade activity arrives.
Market prices are an aggregate signal of participants' relative confidence about which team will draft him and will update as scouting reports, interviews, medical information, and trades become public. Use prices to compare scenarios rather than as static predictions — they change with new data and events.
If a team officially selects Ty Simpson during the draft, the market will resolve to the team listed on the official draft record as the selecting franchise for that pick.
Because the market lists 32 team outcomes, resolution in the event he goes undrafted depends on KALSHI’s published rules for this specific event; check the event page for the official resolution clause (some markets specify a 'no team' outcome or voiding rules).
Prices commonly move around key pre-draft events — the combine, pro day, private workouts, medical disclosures, reported team visits/interviews — and especially during draft-day trade announcements and the draft itself.
Trades determine which franchise actually makes the selection; the market resolves to the team recorded as the official selecting franchise at the time of the pick, regardless of prior pick ownership or previous agreements.
Look at teams’ recent patterns drafting quarterbacks (e.g., frequency of drafting QBs early, trading up, or preferring certain skill profiles), current roster needs, coaching scheme fit, and front-office tendencies — these contextual factors help interpret market signals but do not guarantee the outcome.