| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 9% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $218 | Trade → |
| Alex Tuch | 7% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $134 | Trade → |
| Josh Doan | 5% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $56 | Trade → |
| J.J. Moser | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bowen Byram | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zach Benson | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Owen Power | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ryan McLeod | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Quinn | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Norris | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beck Malenstyn | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Noah Ostlund | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jason Zucker | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Kesselring | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Peyton Krebs | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mattias Samuelsson | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zach Metsa | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Erik Cernak | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthony Cirelli | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pontus Holmberg | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brayden Point | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brandon Hagel | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jake Guentzel | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scott Sabourin | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ryan McDonagh | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yanni Gourde | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nikita Kucherov | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Darren Raddysh | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Hedman | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player or outcome will produce the first goal in the Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres game. First-goal markets matter because the first goal often shifts game momentum and is influenced by lineup and special-teams matchups announced shortly before puck drop.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres are established NHL clubs with differing offensive styles and special-teams strengths; recent seasons have shown both teams can score early but the balance depends on starting personnel and coaching tactics. Historical head-to-head trends, venue (home-ice for Buffalo), and the day-to-day availability of top-line forwards and power-play units all shape first-goal dynamics.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective expectations about who will score first and update as new information appears, such as starting lineups, scratches, and goalie confirmations. Use price movement as a signal of changing information rather than an absolute prediction.
Closure timing is set by the platform listing this event; many first-goal markets close at puck drop or when lineups and starting goalies are locked, but because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD' you should watch the platform for the official close time before making trades.
Settlement conventions vary by market; commonly the first goal refers to the first goal scored during regulation or all play before a shootout, while shootout goals are typically excluded. Check the event’s settlement rules on the platform to confirm which game periods are included.
Most platforms follow the official NHL scoring credit: the player officially credited with the goal in the game report is used to settle first-goal markets; own-goals and deflections are treated according to the official scorer’s assignment. Review the market’s settlement policy for any nuances.
Look at recent head-to-head games for which team tends to score first, each team’s goals-for timing distribution, and how starting goalies performed in early periods against the opponent. Also consider Buffalo’s home-ice starts and Tampa Bay’s tendencies on the road when evaluating likely first-goal scenarios.
Late scratches and tactical lineup changes can materially shift first-goal probabilities because they change which players receive early offensive minutes and power-play time. Monitor official pregame lineup releases and injury reports — markets often move quickly after such announcements.