| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the combined number of runs scored by the Tampa Bay and St. Louis teams in a specific game. It matters because it aggregates many real-world inputs—lineups, pitchers, weather—into a single, tradable forecast of game scoring.
Tampa Bay and St. Louis are Major League Baseball clubs with differing offensive and pitching profiles; historical matchups, park dimensions, and roster changes can all shape expected scoring. The market offers 11 discrete outcomes tied to ranges or thresholds of total runs, letting traders express views on low- or high-scoring scenarios without needing to forecast the exact final score.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment about which total-run outcome will occur; higher prices indicate stronger market support for an outcome but are not fixed forecasts. Always consult the market page for the exact outcome definitions and settlement rules before trading.
It measures the combined number of runs scored by both teams in the game as defined by this specific KALSHI market; check the contract details on the market page to confirm whether the count includes extra innings or is limited to regulation innings and which official source is used for final scoring.
The market is divided into 11 mutually exclusive outcome buckets that cover the realistic range of total runs; the market page lists the exact run ranges or thresholds for each outcome so you can see which bucket corresponds to a given final score.
Watch the announced starting pitchers and any late scratch or pitching changes, final lineup releases, injury reports, bullpen availability, and weather forecasts for the ballpark; each of these items can materially change the expected total runs for the matchup.
Settlement is determined by the market’s stated rules and the official scoring source cited on the contract; because the market close is listed as TBD, confirm the posted settlement timing and whether extra-inning runs are included before placing trades.
Late scratches, surprise starting-pitcher changes, adverse weather, lineup swaps, injuries, and real-time scoring events (if the market allows in-play trading) will typically shift prices as traders update their expectations based on the new information.