| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alec Burleson: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cedric Mullins: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cedric Mullins: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chandler Simpson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan Aranda: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan Aranda: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan Walker: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan Walker: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Junior Caminero: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Junior Caminero: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Masyn Winn: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Masyn Winn: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yandy Díaz: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yandy Díaz: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many home runs will be hit in the Tampa Bay vs St. Louis game on KALSHI. It matters to traders who want to express views about the game’s run environment or hedge exposure to power outcomes.
Home-run expectations combine team lineup power, starting pitchers, and ballpark characteristics; those elements can vary from game to game due to roster moves and weather. Tampa Bay and St. Louis have different home venues and roster constructions that historically influence how many long balls each contest produces.
Market prices are the collective view of participants about future outcomes; use them as a real-time indicator that reacts to new information (lineups, weather, scratches). Treat prices as signals to compare against your independent read rather than guarantees of what will occur.
It indicates the market is divided into 15 discrete settlement outcomes (typically specific counts or narrow ranges of home runs). Check the market page to see the exact mapping of each outcome to a home-run total or range.
A TBD close means KALSHI has not yet announced the market’s trading cutoff; trading will end at the platform’s posted close time once set, and final settlement occurs after the game is complete using the official box score or the market’s stated data source.
Low or zero volume means limited liquidity and that prices may move sharply on small trades; treat early prices as preliminary signals and watch for more activity or confirmatory information before assuming they reflect broad consensus.
Look at each starter’s recent HR susceptibility, pitch mix (flyball vs groundball), and historical performance against opposing hitters. Last-minute scratches or bullpen-heavy plans materially change the risk profile, so update your view when lineups and starters are confirmed.
Indoor vs outdoor status, fence dimensions, and local wind/temperature influence ball carry; an indoor dome typically suppresses home runs while an open park can amplify them on windy or warm days. Verify the game’s location and the weather forecast for the most relevant effect.