| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alec Burleson: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cedric Mullins: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cedric Mullins: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chandler Simpson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan Aranda: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan Aranda: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan Walker: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan Walker: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Junior Caminero: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Junior Caminero: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Masyn Winn: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Masyn Winn: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yandy Díaz: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yandy Díaz: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many home runs will be hit in the Tampa Bay vs St. Louis game; it matters because home runs are a primary driver of scoring and therefore of how traders price game outcomes.
Expectations for home runs combine team offensive power, the quality and handedness of the starting pitchers, and the ballpark and weather where the game is played. Historical season rates and recent form for each club provide context, but last-minute lineup, injury and weather changes often shift expectations significantly.
Market odds are an aggregated snapshot of trader expectations for each possible home-run outcome and will move as new information (lineups, pitchers, weather) arrives. Use relative odds across outcomes to see which home-run counts the market currently favors rather than focusing on any single price at one moment.
The 15 outcomes map to discrete total home-run results for the game (commonly single-count outcomes or counts plus an open-ended top bin). Check the market page for the exact mapping and labels used for each outcome.
Close times vary by market operator; these markets typically close at or just before the scheduled first pitch, but you should confirm the listed close time on the KALSHI market page since it is marked TBD here.
Announcements that tend to move this market include confirmed starting pitchers or late scratches, official batting order releases, significant weather/wind updates, and late roster changes involving power hitters or projected relievers.
Resolution depends on platform rules: the market may be voided, suspended until the game is completed, or resolved based on the completed game if it is resumed later. Consult KALSHI’s market rules and the specific event page for the official policy.
Markets resolve using the official game record designated by the market operator (usually the league’s official box score). If the official record is later corrected, the platform’s stated resolution policy determines whether that affects settlement—check KALSHI’s rules for post-game adjustments.