| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| St. Louis wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Tampa Bay, St. Louis, or a tie — will be leading after the first five innings of their game. It matters to traders who want to isolate early-game outcomes driven by starting pitchers and top-of-order offense.
The first-five-innings market isolates early-game performance rather than final-game factors like late bullpens or extra innings. Tampa Bay and St. Louis matchups can swing quickly because early runs, starter quality, and batting-order matchups tend to determine the scoreboard through five frames. Because resolution depends only on the score after five innings, roster decisions and pregame information have outsized importance.
Market odds represent collective trader expectations about which side will be ahead after five innings and will update as new information (lineups, scratches, weather) arrives. Treat movements as shifts in available information, not immutable forecasts.
It resolves using the official MLB score after the completion of the first five innings — that is, after the top and bottom of the fifth are complete. If the bottom of the fifth is not played because the home team is already leading, resolution will use the official score after the last completed half-inning.
The three outcomes are: Tampa Bay leading after five innings, St. Louis leading after five innings, or a tie after five innings. The settled outcome reflects the official score after the first five innings as recorded by MLB.
If play is suspended and later resumed, the market will resolve based on the official score once five innings have been completed. If the game is called or never reaches five innings, settlement will follow the exchange's published rules (often voiding or postponing settlement until an official result exists).
Yes. Resolution uses the official MLB scorebook and any changes made by the official scorer or replay review, so adjusted scoring decisions that are final before settlement will be included.
Watch the announced starting pitchers and their recent first-inning and early-inning splits, the published batting orders, any official scratches or late lineup changes, stadium weather and wind, and whether either team names an opener or plans an early bullpen strategy.