| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago WS wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the outcome of the first five innings of a specific baseball game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Chicago White Sox. It allows participants to speculate on which team will hold the lead or if the score will be tied after the completion of the fifth inning.
The first five innings market is a popular way to isolate the impact of starting pitching and early-game offensive performance. By focusing solely on the first half of the game, this market removes the influence of bullpens, which often play a major role in late-game outcomes. Historical performance of starting rotations and early-inning run production are critical variables for this event.
The prices in this market reflect the collective expectation of market participants regarding the relative strength of the starting pitchers and the lineups in the early stages of the game.
Markets are typically settled based on the official ruling of the league; if the game is suspended or postponed before the fifth inning is complete, the market will likely be voided or settled per the exchange's specific rules for incomplete events.
No, this market strictly focuses on the score at the end of the fifth inning, meaning bullpen performance in the later frames is irrelevant to the settlement.
The first five market isolates the impact of the starting pitchers, whereas the full-game market incorporates the unpredictability of both teams' relief pitching staffs.
High wind speeds or extreme temperatures can influence fly-ball distance, which may increase scoring chances early in the game for hitters facing the starting pitchers.
The market features an outcome for a tie, which is selected if neither team has a lead at the conclusion of the fifth inning.