| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 goals scored | 51% | 49¢ | 51¢ | — | $228 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 goals scored | 61% | 60¢ | 62¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 goals scored | 0% | 16¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 0% | 78¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 0% | 88¢ | 91¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 goals scored | 0% | 4¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 0% | 71¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 goals scored | 0% | 27¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the combined number of goals scored in the Tampa Bay at Toronto game; it matters because total-goals markets aggregate expectations about pace, goaltending, and special-teams performance into a single tradable instrument.
The event covers a matchup between Tampa Bay and Toronto and is presented as a multi-outcome market on KALSHI with eight distinct total-point ranges and modest trading volume. Historical matchups, current rosters, and late-breaking lineup or injury news all influence expectations for how many goals the game will produce; verify settlement rules and any overtime inclusion on the event page.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders on which scoring range is most likely; interpret those prices as the market's current assessment that will update as new information (lineups, injuries, goalie starts) becomes available.
The listed close time on KALSHI is currently TBD; settlement follows the market's contract terms and typically occurs after the official final score is available, so check the event page for the definitive close time and settlement rules.
Total Points means the combined goals scored by both teams as defined in the contract for this market; some markets include overtime or shootout goals while others count only regulation, so confirm the specific inclusion rules on the KALSHI event description.
A confirmed change in the expected starting goalie is one of the most impactful pieces of information for a totals market because goalies vary widely in style and recent performance; traders often react quickly to official starter announcements and pregame reports.
Head-to-head scoring patterns provide useful context but should be tempered by roster turnover, injuries, and sample size; use recent matchups as one input alongside current form and lineup information rather than as a sole predictor.
With relatively low volume, prices can move quickly in response to new information such as scratches, injury reports, or goalie changes; monitor trade history and order depth on KALSHI and follow official team updates close to puck drop.