| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo wins by over 1.5 goals | 31% | 26¢ | 30¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 goals | 31% | 29¢ | 31¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals | 21% | 17¢ | 20¢ | — | $364 | Trade → |
| Buffalo wins by over 2.5 goals | 16% | 16¢ | 20¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Tampa Bay at Buffalo game; it matters to traders who want to express views on the margin of victory rather than just the winner. Outcome prices summarize collective expectations about how large the margin will be.
Buffalo plays at home with factors like weather and travel often influencing margins, while Tampa Bay's ability to protect the quarterback and run the ball can change expected spread dynamics. Historical head-to-heads provide limited guidance because rosters and schemes change year to year, so recent form and current availability matter more. Market movement will reflect roster news, injury reports, and late-breaking conditions at the venue.
Odds on this spread market reflect the consensus view of which margin bracket is most likely given current information and will move as new information arrives. Use odds as a read on market sentiment, not a fixed prediction, and watch liquidity before placing large positions.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the page; typically spread markets close shortly before kickoff, and you should confirm the final close time on this market page before trading.
The four outcomes partition possible margins of victory into distinct ranges or cover conditions as defined on this market’s outcome labels; check the outcome descriptions on the market page to see the exact margin ranges used for settlement.
Prioritize official injury reports and practice participation updates for key positions—especially quarterbacks and primary defenders—because those items materially alter expected margins; avoid trading solely on unverified social-media reports.
Zero volume means there have been no matched trades yet, indicating low liquidity; expect wider spreads between offers and larger price movements when trading begins, so size positions carefully and consider execution risk.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s platform rules and the official NFL game status—markets may be voided or settled according to those rules in the event of postponement or cancellation, so consult the platform’s settlement policy for this market.