| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | 74% | 68¢ | 74¢ | — | $182 | Trade → |
| Trevor Svajda | 27% | 27¢ | 32¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
This market is for the outcome of the tennis match between Svajda and McDonald; it matters because it aggregates bettors' expectations about which player will win and reacts quickly to news about form, fitness, and conditions.
Mackenzie McDonald is an established ATP-level player while Adam Svajda is a younger, up-and-coming competitor; their matchup pits experience against youth and momentum. Trading volume on this market is modest ($207), so quoted prices may reflect relatively few traders and can move on new information or single large trades.
Prediction market prices are a real-time consensus among traders, updating as new information (injuries, practice reports, match delays) arrives; with low liquidity, treat prices as signals rather than precise forecasts and expect potential volatility.
The official close time is set by KALSHI and currently listed as TBD; markets for individual matches typically close before the match begins or when the platform announces closure, so check the event page for the final close time.
Resolution depends on KALSHI's rules: if a player withdraws before play, the market may be voided or resolved according to the platform's withdrawal policy; if a player retires during the match, settlement typically follows the official match result—consult the platform's resolution guidelines for specifics.
Itemized updates such as confirmed injuries, practice or warm-up reports, official lineup announcements, weather delays, and unexpectedly strong or weak performances in earlier rounds are the most common drivers of price movement.
Low volume indicates limited liquidity and participation; prices can be more easily moved by individual trades and may not fully incorporate broad information, so expect wider spreads and higher sensitivity to new information.
Surface and round matter: some players perform differently on hard, clay, or grass, and later-round matches can raise pressure and fatigue considerations. Check each player's historical results on the tournament surface and their recent workload to inform your assessment.