| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale wins by over 2.5 goals | 17% | 1¢ | 11¢ | — | $510 | Trade → |
| Sunderland wins by over 1.5 goals | 42% | 39¢ | 42¢ | — | $79 | Trade → |
| Sunderland wins by over 2.5 goals | 23% | 15¢ | 22¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Port Vale wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 1¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread between Sunderland and Port Vale will fall, letting traders express expectations about the margin of victory. It matters because spread markets aggregate many match-level signals into a single tradeable view of how lopsided the game is expected to be.
Sunderland and Port Vale are English clubs with different resources, histories, and typical league positions; those structural differences often shape pre-match expectations. Head-to-head history, recent results, and the competition or stage of the season also provide context that market participants incorporate when pricing spreads.
Spread outcomes are bins representing ranges of margin-of-victory; market prices reflect collective expectations about which margin range is most likely. Always check the market page for the exact definitions and settlement rules for each outcome.
Closure time is set by the market creator and typically is at or shortly before kickoff; because this market currently shows 'TBD', check the Kalshi market page for the official cutoff or any updates from the platform.
Each of the four outcomes maps to a specific range of final-margin results (spread bins) — the market page lists the exact margin thresholds and how each outcome is defined for settlement.
Relatively low volume means liquidity is limited and prices can move sharply on small trades or new information; treat quoted prices as more volatile and check order depth before placing large positions.
Settlement for postponements or abandonments follows Kalshi’s event rules and the market’s terms — possible outcomes include voiding/refunding, extending the market until the match is replayed, or following a specific adjudication rule; consult the market description and platform rules for this event.
Watch official starting XI announcements, injury and suspension updates, manager team news and press conferences, late travel or weather advisories affecting pitch conditions, and how offshore bookmakers and other markets react to the same information.