| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Woltemade | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Habib Diarra | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joelinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harvey Barnes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kieran Trippier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luke O'Nien | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brian Brobbey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Granit Xhaka | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Rigg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sven Botman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Omar Alderete | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| No Goal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chemsdine Talbi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthony Gordon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lewis Hall | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Ramsey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trai Hume | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dan Burn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Noah Sadiki | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthony Elanga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks who will score the first goal in the Sunderland at Newcastle match, letting traders express views on a single, early-match event. First-goalscorer markets matter because they react quickly to team news, lineups, and in-game events.
Sunderland vs Newcastle is a locally charged fixture with a long rivalry that can alter typical tactical approaches and player motivations. Match dynamics—home advantage, recent form, injuries, and managers' gameplans—shape which players are likeliest to be involved early. Markets for individual-match events like this capture those factors and update as new information arrives.
Prediction-market odds reflect the market’s aggregated view of who will score first and will move as lineups, injuries, or other news arrive. Interpret odds as a real-time signal of market sentiment, not a guarantee of outcome.
The market closes at the time listed on the Kalshi event page (check the platform for the exact cutoff); settlement follows the competition’s official match report and Kalshi’s published settlement rules.
The outcomes typically include specific players listed as potential first goalscorers plus any special outcomes provided by the market (for example, an own goal or a 'no scorer'/no goal outcome); view the event’s outcome list on Kalshi to see the exact entries.
The official definition depends on the competition and Kalshi’s settlement rules: penalties scored during regulation/stoppage usually count, own goals may be handled as a separate outcome, and whether extra time or penalty shootout goals count varies—refer to the market’s rules for specifics.
Late team-sheet changes and injury news can materially shift the market because they change which players are likely to play and score; markets typically update in response to verified information, so monitor official team announcements and the platform’s live prices.
Derby matches often feature heightened intensity that can lead to earlier set pieces or counterattacks; which team normally starts more aggressively, which players historically perform in derbies, and each side’s reliance on set-piece or penalty takers are all relevant contextual factors to consider.