| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 70% | 69¢ | 70¢ | — | $79K | Trade → |
| Georgia Southern | 32% | 31¢ | 32¢ | — | $69K | Trade → |
| Appalachian St. | 12% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| Texas St. | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Coastal Carolina | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Arkansas St. | 10% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Marshall | 4% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $10K | Resolved |
| South Alabama | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Southern Miss | 1% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $5K | Resolved |
| James Madison | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Louisiana | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $595 | Resolved |
| Georgia St. | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $467 | Trade → |
| Louisiana-Monroe | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| Old Dominion | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $95 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the Sun Belt Conference men's basketball tournament and be crowned conference champion. It matters because the tournament champion typically receives the conference's automatic berth to the NCAA Tournament and outcomes drive offseason narratives and seeding.
The Sun Belt is an NCAA Division I mid-major conference whose postseason tournament is single-elimination and usually held near the end of the college basketball season. Historically a handful of programs have collected multiple tournament titles, but the single-game elimination format and conference parity frequently produce upsets. The tournament winner is officially determined by the conference following the championship game and any subsequent rulings.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of traders and update as new information arrives — for example, injuries, lineup announcements, or surprising tournament results. Use those movements to see how the market reacts to developments, not as a fixed prediction.
The champion is determined when the Sun Belt Conference officially declares the winner following the tournament championship game; the market will resolve based on that official result.
Each outcome corresponds to one participating Sun Belt team being the tournament champion; the set of outcomes mirrors the field of teams eligible to win.
Traders update prices in real time as those developments become public; substantial news typically causes rapid adjustments in market prices to reflect the new information.
Resolution follows the conference’s and NCAA’s official records and public announcements; if the conference vacates or changes the official champion, the market operator will resolve according to those official determinations.
Regular-season results affect seeding and can indicate relative strength, but the tournament’s single-elimination format, matchup dynamics, and short-term factors mean past performance is informative but not determinative.