| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sum of seeds: 13 to 16 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sum of seeds: 5 to 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sum of seeds: 9 to 12 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sum of seeds: 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sum of seeds: 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sum of seeds: 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sum of seeds: 17 to 32 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sum of seeds: 7 to 8 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the combined seed numbers of the two teams that play in the Men's College Basketball Championship Game. The sum of seeds summarizes whether the final features top-seeded favorites or lower-seeded underdogs, which affects risk and payoff in bracket-based betting and hedging strategies.
The U.S. men's college basketball national tournament is a single‑elimination bracket in which teams are assigned seeds by the selection committee (commonly 1–16 per region). The championship game brings the two regional winners from the Final Four; the sum of their official seed numbers is the outcome for this market. Upsets, play‑in results, and bracket structure all shape the possible range of sums and how unusual a final matchup may be.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation of traders about which sum range will occur and will update as teams advance and new information arrives. Use prices as a real‑time indicator of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction; trades can be placed or adjusted up until the market closes.
The sum equals the two teams' official seed numbers as assigned by the selection committee for the tournament; add the two seed values (for example, seed 1 plus seed 3 equals a sum of 4). Play‑in winners take the seed assigned to their slot and that official seed is used in the sum.
The market’s close time will be shown on the event page; if not yet set (TBD), markets of this type typically close no later than the official tipoff and may close earlier once the championship matchup is finalized. Always check the event page for the authoritative closing time.
Resolution uses the official seeds published by the tournament organizers at the time the bracket is finalized. Any post‑selection changes that alter official seeding will be reflected only if the tournament or selection committee publicly updates those seeds.
Resolution follows Kalshi’s official market rules: if the game is not played as scheduled or a withdrawal occurs, the market will be resolved according to the platform’s stated cancellation and voiding policies, which typically reference official tournament decisions and may result in refunds or alternate settlement procedures.
Key movers include surprise upsets of high seeds, dominant performances by lower seeds that indicate deeper runs, sudden injuries or suspensions to contenders, and late seeding anomalies from the play‑in round; each materially changes the perceived likelihood of low‑seed vs. high‑seed championship matchups.