| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Santos Aguilar to win in Round 3 | 18% | 1¢ | 18¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| Su Mudaerji to win in Round 2 | 0% | 3¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesus Santos Aguilar to win in Round 1 | 0% | 3¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesus Santos Aguilar to win in Round 2 | 0% | 2¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Su Mudaerji to win in Round 1 | 0% | 5¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Su Mudaerji to win in Round 3 | 0% | 2¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which round Su Mudaerji or Jesus Santos Aguilar will win the fight; it matters for traders who want to express views on fight tempo and likely finish timing.
Both competitors bring distinct fight histories and styles that shape expectations about whether a bout is likely to end early or go the distance. Recent form, finishing history, camp reports, and any public information about injuries or weight cuts are important background context for this specific matchup.
Market odds represent collective market sentiment about which round a victory will occur and will move as new information (weigh-ins, injury reports, betting flow) becomes available.
The market close time is listed on the event page (currently TBD); settlement is based on the official fight result as posted and confirmed by the event's sanctioning body, using the commission-recorded round/time to determine the winning outcome.
The market offers discrete round-based outcome labels (one per potential finishing round and typically an option for decision/no finish); consult the market page for the exact outcome names and how they map to official results.
Settlement follows the official result timing recorded by the commission: the outcome will be resolved to whatever round/time the sanctioning body lists in its official report.
A fighter who typically pursues early aggression and accumulates damage raises the chance of a first- or second-round stoppage, while a more technical, defensive, or grappling-oriented opponent tends to push outcomes later; compare recent fights and finish patterns for both fighters to assess this matchup.
Resolution follows the market and exchange rules: if a draw or no-contest is an explicit outcome it will settle accordingly; otherwise the platform's stated dispute/void/refund policy and official result updates from the sanctioning body determine settlement—check KALSHI's market rules for this event for exact procedures.