| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision | 0% | 44¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | 18¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Submission | 0% | 13¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Draw | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets participants bet on how the Su Mudaerji vs. Jesus Santos Aguilar fight will end — whether by stoppage, submission, decision, or another result. It matters because the method of finish reflects styles and risks in the matchup and can move quickly with pre-fight news or in-camp developments.
Su Mudaerji and Jesus Santos Aguilar meet in a scheduled professional bout promoted by their organization; each brings different tendencies that make the method-of-finish question meaningful beyond just who wins. Historical matchups between similarly styled fighters show that striking-heavy contests more often resolve by KO/TKO, while bouts with active grappling exchanges produce submissions or decisions, and short-notice injuries or fouls can produce atypical outcomes.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s aggregated view about which finish is most likely and update as new information (injuries, weight-cut issues, late change of strategy) becomes available. Use prices as a snapshot of market sentiment, not a certainty of the eventual result.
The market is structured around four mutually exclusive outcomes (for example: KO/TKO, Submission, Decision, and Other/No Contest or Draw) — check the market page for the exact labels used.
KO/TKO covers referee stoppages from strikes, knockouts where a fighter is rendered unable to continue, and corner retirements (RTD) declared between rounds; consult the market rules for any narrow wording.
If the official result is a No Contest under the athletic commission’s rules, the market typically settles to the ‘Other/No Contest’ outcome; if the fight goes to a technical decision after the minimum rounds are completed, it will settle as a Decision.
The market resolves to the official result recorded by the event promoter or sanctioning commission once the bout outcome is finalized; if the result is later overturned by the commission, settlement follows the updated official record per the market’s settlement policy.
Disqualifications are typically treated as an ‘Other/No Contest or Draw’ style outcome for method-of-finish markets unless the market explicitly lists DQ as a separate option — check the outcome definitions on the market page.