| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne wins by over 6.5 Points | 51% | 47¢ | 53¢ | — | $160 | Trade → |
| Stonehill wins by over 6.5 Points | 21% | 16¢ | 20¢ | — | $77 | Trade → |
| Le Moyne wins by over 18.5 Points | 22% | 17¢ | 21¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Le Moyne wins by over 3.5 Points | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Le Moyne wins by over 21.5 Points | 41% | 3¢ | 93¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| Stonehill wins by over 3.5 Points | 27% | 22¢ | 27¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| Stonehill wins by over 9.5 Points | 41% | 3¢ | 93¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| Le Moyne wins by over 9.5 Points | 0% | 34¢ | 44¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Le Moyne wins by over 15.5 Points | 0% | 17¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Le Moyne wins by over 12.5 Points | 0% | 23¢ | 34¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Stonehill at Le Moyne game; spread markets matter because they focus on margin-of-victory expectations rather than just who wins. Traders use them to express views on relative team strength and situational factors leading into the game.
Stonehill is the visiting program and Le Moyne is the home program for this matchup; college matchups like this are influenced by recent schedules, roster changes, and coaching matchups. Historical results between the two programs, recent form, and conference context (scheduling, travel) all provide background that market participants weigh.
Market prices represent the collective view of participants about which spread band is most likely to occur and update as new information arrives; they are a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee of any single outcome.
The market will close before the game starts; the exact close time is set on the KALSHI listing for this event, so check the market page for the official cutoff.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific spread interval or margin band for the final score; the market page lists the label for each outcome so you can see which margin range each option covers.
Settlement is based on the official final score margin as recorded by the sanctioning body and KALSHI's settlement rules; unless otherwise noted, results that include overtime are treated according to the platform’s published rules.
Monitor official team releases, local beat reporters, and pregame injury updates—late changes to starters or key rotations can materially shift the expected margin and thus market prices, especially in a market with limited liquidity.
Relatively low traded volume indicates limited liquidity; prices may move substantially on small trades or new information, so interpret price moves with caution and be aware that large orders can shift the market.