| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 8.5 Points | 21% | 21¢ | 46¢ | — | $47K | Trade → |
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 5.5 Points | 60% | 55¢ | 59¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 2.5 Points | 71% | 67¢ | 72¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 11.5 Points | 34% | 31¢ | 37¢ | — | $524 | Trade → |
| Incarnate Word wins by over 7.5 Points | 7% | 7¢ | 10¢ | — | $337 | Trade → |
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 23.5 Points | 7% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Incarnate Word wins by over 4.5 Points | 17% | 12¢ | 19¢ | — | $92 | Trade → |
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 14.5 Points | 22% | 21¢ | 27¢ | — | $21 | Trade → |
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 12¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen F. Austin wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Incarnate Word wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 19¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to take positions on which side of the point spread will prevail in the college football game between Stephen F. Austin and Incarnate Word. It matters because spread markets aggregate participant views about margin-of-victory, game dynamics, and event risk.
Stephen F. Austin and Incarnate Word are regional collegiate programs whose matchup draws interest from local fans and bettors familiar with team matchups and styles. The market on KALSHI currently shows active participation (total volume traded: $55,233) and features 11 discrete outcomes; the official close time is currently listed as TBD, so traders should monitor the platform for updates.
In a spread market, each outcome corresponds to which side covers the specified point-margin interval; market prices reflect collective expectations and available liquidity rather than a guaranteed forecast. Use market information alongside injury reports, matchup analysis, and your risk limits when making trading decisions.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD. KALSHI typically publishes a definitive close based on the scheduled game start or platform rules; check the market on the platform shortly before kickoff for the official close time.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific point-spread bracket or resolution interval for the final margin in the game. Consult the market contract description on KALSHI for the exact mapping from outcomes to point-margin ranges and settlement rules.
Monitor official injury and status reports up to kickoff; late information can materially change expected margins and liquidity. Consider scaling position size, using limit orders, or hedging if a key starter is questionable or ruled out close to kickoff.
Resolution follows the exchange’s documented settlement policy. Common outcomes include settlement based on the official final score if the game is completed, or voiding/rolling per KALSHI rules if the game is not played within the specified window. Check KALSHI’s market rules for definitive guidance.
Home-field typically affects travel fatigue, crowd influence, and familiarity with the venue, all of which can shift expected margins. For this matchup, evaluate Incarnate Word’s home performance, travel distance for Stephen F. Austin, and historical home/away splits to inform your view.