| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinners | 0% | 45¢ | 57¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ECSTATIC | 0% | 43¢ | 55¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market covers the outcome of Map 2 between ECSTATIC and Sinners in the Stake Ranked Episode 1 Closed Qualifier 2026. It matters because the map result will directly affect the match outcome and teams' chances of advancing in the closed qualifier.
The event is part of a closed qualifier for the 2026 Stake Ranked Episode 1 series, where teams compete for a limited number of spots in the main event. ECSTATIC and Sinners are competing in a multi-map match whose second map can be pivotal for momentum; map pools, recent form, and roster continuity are typical context that shape expectations. The market is hosted on KALSHI and the market close time is listed as TBD, so market timing may change as organizers publish the match schedule.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate market view on which team will win Map 2 based on available information; they are not guarantees and can move as new information (lineups, map picks, injuries, or live momentum) becomes available. Use odds as a snapshot of collective expectation, not a fixed forecast.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically a market for a specific map closes shortly before that map is due to begin or when official lineups and map vetoes are finalized. Check the KALSHI market page or the tournament schedule for the official close.
Map 2 refers to the second map in the match sequence; in many closed-qualifier formats matches are best-of-three, so Map 2 can either level the series, clinch a 2-0 win, or force a decider depending on the result of Map 1. Confirm the event's match format in the tournament rules.
Influential contributors usually include primary fraggers/entry players, the team's AWP specialist, and the in-game leader who sets tactics and rotations; changes to any of these roles or their recent performance trends are particularly relevant for predicting Map 2.
Map picks/bans determine which map becomes Map 2 and therefore can advantage the team whose map pool includes that map; some teams favor counter-picks or defensive maps, and pre-match vetoes and pick order materially change the matchup dynamics for Map 2.
Winning Map 2 can either secure a straight-series victory (if a team is already up 1-0) or force a deciding Map 3 (if the series is tied). The map result therefore influences who advances in the closed qualifier bracket, potential seeding, and any prize or advancement stakes tied to match outcomes.