| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M´gladbach wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| St. Pauli wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| M´gladbach wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| St. Pauli wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market offers spread-based outcomes for the soccer match St. Pauli at M´gladbach, letting traders express views on the likely goal-margin range rather than simply who wins. Spread markets matter because they aggregate public reactions to team news and tactical matchups and can move quickly as new information appears.
St. Pauli and M´gladbach are established German clubs with different tactical profiles and home/away tendencies; historical head-to-head results and recent scoring trends help shape expectations for margin outcomes. The market lists four spread outcomes, currently shows total volume traded of $0, and the official close time is listed as TBD—watch the platform for the posted close and any updates.
In a spreads market, listed prices reflect the market consensus about which goal-difference range will occur and will update as lineups, injuries, weather, and other information arrive. Treat prices as real-time signals rather than fixed forecasts and consult the platform’s settlement rules for how final outcomes are determined.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD. Kalshi typically posts a final close prior to kickoff; monitor the market page for the announced close and any last-minute changes.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific goal-difference range (a spread) for the final score. The market interface shows the exact boundaries for each outcome; an outcome pays out if the official final score falls into that defined range according to the platform’s settlement rules.
Lineup announcements and injury updates materially shift expectations about scoring potential and defensive resilience, so spreads often move immediately after official lineups are posted or when key players are confirmed absent.
Head-to-head provides context about past matchups, but recent form, current scoring rates, and the expected lineup for this particular fixture usually have greater predictive value for margin-based outcomes.
Settlement follows Kalshi’s event rules: typically spreads for standard league matches are settled on the official final score after normal time (90 minutes plus stoppage). If a match is postponed or abandoned, the platform will publish a resolution policy for the market—check the event rules page for the specific settlement procedure.