| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| St. Louis wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vancouver wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which goal-spread interval will apply to the NHL game St. Louis at Vancouver; it matters because spread markets focus on margin and reflect market expectations about how decisively one team will win or lose.
St. Louis and Vancouver are established NHL franchises whose matchup outcomes depend on goaltending, special-teams performance, and roster health; the venue (Vancouver) and travel schedule can shift expectations. The market offers four spread outcomes, so instead of a simple winner, traders are forecasting which range of goal differential will occur.
Prediction market prices indicate collective judgment about which spread interval is most likely, and they update as new information (injuries, lineup changes, goalie starts) becomes available. Use prices as a real-time signal of consensus while monitoring underlying game developments.
The official close time is listed on the event page on KALSHI; it is currently TBD, so check the event page for updates and watch for any announced lock or trading halts close to puck drop.
The market is divided into four distinct spread intervals that correspond to ranges of final goal differential (for example, one side winning by a small margin, by a larger margin, etc.); consult the event details on the platform to see the exact numeric cutoffs for each of the four outcomes.
Decisions that matter most are the announced starting goalies for each team, any scratches or returns of top-line forwards and top-pair defensemen, and late roster moves due to illness or injury, since those directly change scoring and defensive capacity.
Home-ice factors include last-change matchups, crowd influence, and travel fatigue for St. Louis; these typically push markets modestly toward the home team but the magnitude depends on matchup specifics like goalie form and recent rest.
Recent form (e.g., last several games) provides context on momentum and team health, while head-to-head history can reveal matchup tendencies; both are informative but should be weighed alongside current roster news and starting goalie announcements, which often have larger immediate effects.