| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle wins by over 1.5 goals | 36% | 34¢ | 36¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| St. Louis wins by over 2.5 goals | 14% | 13¢ | 15¢ | — | $382 | Trade → |
| St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals | 21% | 22¢ | 25¢ | — | $183 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 2.5 goals | 23% | 23¢ | 25¢ | — | $71 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the spread will be covered when St. Louis visits Seattle. It matters because the spread encodes market expectations about the expected margin and reacts to real-time information that can be traded on.
This is a matchup between two professional franchises playing in different cities, with travel, time-zone differences, and roster decisions all potentially important. Both teams may have recent roster turnover, coaching adjustments, or situational advantages that affect expected margins, and those factors are what traders are pricing into the spread.
Prediction market odds represent the collective market view about which spread outcome is most likely given available information; prices move as new, relevant information (injuries, starters, weather, lineup changes) arrives and traders update their views.
Closing time is set by the platform and may be tied to the official game start; this particular market currently lists its close time as TBD, so check the market page for the final close time before placing or adjusting positions.
The four outcomes partition the range of possible spread results for the game (for example, one side covering by various margins, the other side covering by various margins, and any defined push ranges). Consult the market description on the platform for the exact mapping of outcomes to margin ranges.
Announcements that commonly move the spread include starting pitcher/goalie confirmations or last-minute changes, official injury updates or scratches, and any coaching statements about rotation or usage plans; those items directly change expected margins and trader assessments.
Home advantage can matter via crowd effects, familiarity with the venue (ice/field dimensions or sightlines), and reduced travel fatigue; Seattle’s home conditions and travel distance for St. Louis are elements the market will consider when pricing the spread.
A starter change is material information that can alter expected margins; reassess how the replacement affects matchup dynamics (handedness, recent performance, rest) and consider whether market prices have already adjusted before deciding to hold, trim, or exit your position.