| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama St. wins by over 1.5 Points | 51% | 51¢ | 52¢ | — | $148 | Trade → |
| Southern University wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 25¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern University wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama St. wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 10¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama St. wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 27¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama St. wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 18¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern University wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 8¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern University wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 16¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama St. wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 37¢ | 44¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern University wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 36¢ | 39¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama St. wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread interval will describe the final margin between Southern University and Alabama State. It matters because the spread captures market consensus about which team is favored and by how many points, and can be used by bettors or analysts to hedge or express views on the matchup.
Southern University and Alabama State are FCS/Division I programs with regional rivalry implications; recent seasons, roster turnover, and coaching changes can shift relative strength from year to year. Market participants will price the spread using available information such as recent results, injury reports, travel logistics, and weather forecasts leading up to kickoff.
Prediction market prices here reflect the collective expectation for the final point differential between the teams and will adjust as new information arrives. Treat the market price as a live consensus signal rather than a fixed prediction — it moves with news and trading activity.
The closing time is listed as TBD for this event; KALSHI markets typically close shortly before kickoff or at a platform-specified time — check the market page for the announced close or any updates from the platform.
The 11 discrete outcomes correspond to spread brackets that partition possible final margins. The market will resolve to the single bracket that contains the actual final point differential according to KALSHI’s settlement rules; consult the market contract description for the exact bracket boundaries and resolution method.
Use official team injury reports and coach confirmations, prioritize changes to starting quarterback or primary ballcarriers, and factor in timing (late scratches have more effect). Markets often react quickly to credible injury news, so track updates in the hours before kickoff.
Head-to-head history provides context on rivalry tendencies and matchup patterns but is less predictive than current-season form, roster changes, and coaching strategy; weigh recent direct results alongside current personnel and situational factors.
Modest volume means prices can be more volatile and subject to influence by individual trades; lower liquidity implies greater potential for price swings and that the market consensus may change quickly as additional information or bets arrive.