| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy wins by over 5.5 Points | 46% | 46¢ | 49¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Troy wins by over 2.5 Points | 61% | 57¢ | 60¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Troy wins by over 8.5 Points | 35% | 36¢ | 39¢ | — | $260 | Trade → |
| Southern Miss wins by over 19.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Southern Miss wins by over 4.5 Points | 23% | 19¢ | 23¢ | — | $40 | Trade → |
| Southern Miss wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern Miss wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern Miss wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern Miss wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 29¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Troy wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 26¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Southern Miss wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell discrete spread outcomes for the college football game Southern Miss at Troy — effectively betting on the margin of victory rather than just who wins. It matters because spread prices aggregate public and professional views about how close the game will be and react to news (injuries, weather, line moves) before kickoff.
Southern Miss and Troy are FBS programs whose meetings often matter for conference positioning and local bragging rights; Troy is the home team for this matchup. The market offers 11 distinct spread outcomes, giving fine-grained options on final-margin ranges, and has seen modest trading activity to date (total volume traded: $5,418). The market close time for this event is listed as TBD, so traders should watch the platform for the official cutoff.
Prices on each outcome reflect how the market collectively values that specific margin range; higher prices indicate greater market demand for that outcome. Use the full set of prices and recent price movement to gauge where traders expect the game to land, and remember to check the market's mapping of outcomes to margin ranges before trading.
The market's official close time is listed as TBD; typically these spread markets close at kickoff or at the time specified by the platform. Check the KALSHI event page for any updates or a confirmed cutoff before placing trades.
Each of the 11 outcomes maps to a defined range of final-margin results (for example, specific intervals favoring either Troy or Southern Miss). The market page shows the exact mapping so you can match a final official margin to the winning outcome.
Settlement is based on the official final score as recorded by the game's governing authority unless the event-specific rules state otherwise. That typically includes overtime; confirm the market rules on the event page to be sure.
Watch the starting quarterbacks, primary running backs and receivers, key offensive-line/injury reports, and impact defensive players; changes to any of these starters are the most likely to move the expected margin materially.
Markets usually react quickly to credible late news, but with modest volume ($5,418 traded so far) liquidity can be limited — price moves may be larger and spreads between buy/sell offers wider. Monitor the order book and news feeds; large new information can create sharp, rapid repricing.