| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida wins by over 6.5 Points | 48% | 48¢ | 50¢ | — | $127 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 12.5 Points | 0% | 24¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 9.5 Points | 0% | 35¢ | 42¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 21.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 9.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 3.5 Points | 0% | 17¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 18.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis wins by over 6.5 Points | 0% | 10¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 15.5 Points | 0% | 14¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Florida wins by over 3.5 Points | 0% | 58¢ | 64¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread will resolve for the South Florida at Memphis matchup; it matters because spread outcomes summarize expectations about the margin of victory and guide trading and hedging decisions.
South Florida and Memphis are programs with different styles and roster compositions; Memphis typically benefits from playing at home while South Florida must manage travel and matchup adjustments. Historical meetings can provide context, but year-to-year roster turnover and coaching changes mean recent form and current availability are usually more informative.
Market prices reflect traders' collective view about which spread-range outcomes are more or less likely; lower-priced outcomes indicate stronger market consensus while higher-priced outcomes indicate less consensus.
The event currently lists the close time as TBD; the platform may set a final close before kickoff/tipoff or keep trading open until game start, so check the market page for the definitive close time as the game approaches.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific range of final-score margins for this matchup; the exact margin boundaries are shown on the market's outcome labels, and a given outcome pays if the final margin falls into that range.
Watch the status of each team’s primary playmaker (e.g., starting quarterback or leading scorer), the top defender or pass-rusher, and any newly cleared or questionable starters—loss or return of those players tends to move spreads significantly.
Home advantage can influence crowd noise, officiating tendencies, travel fatigue for the visitor, and familiarity with the venue; markets typically incorporate a home-edge premium, so late-breaking news that alters that edge (injuries, travel disruptions) can shift the spread.
Past meetings can highlight matchup tendencies, but roster turnover, coaching changes, and current season form are often more relevant—use head-to-head history as one input alongside up-to-date injury reports, recent performance, and matchup analytics.