| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 39¢ | 49¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SMU wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SMU wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SMU wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 49¢ | 59¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread will resolve in the SMU at Louisville game and is useful for participants who want market-implied expectations of the margin. It matters to bettors, analysts, and fans tracking how new information shifts consensus about the likely margin of victory.
SMU and Louisville are programs with distinct styles and personnel, and any matchup outcome will reflect recent form, injuries, and game-day conditions. Historical meetings between these teams may be limited, so current-season performance, travel demands, and coaching matchups often carry more weight than long-ago results. The market closes are listed as TBD, so final trading windows will be set by the platform ahead of game day.
Odds in this spread market represent traders' collective judgment about which margin-range outcome is most likely and will move as new information arrives; they are indicators of sentiment rather than guarantees.
The event page currently shows the market close as TBD; the platform will announce the precise close time ahead of the matchup and typically closes trading shortly before game start to prevent resolution ambiguity from last-second changes.
Settlement is based on the official final margin at the end of the game (overtime included where applicable); the specific outcome corresponds to the range that includes that final point differential, and official league/game scorers are the source for settlement.
The 11 discrete outcomes split the possible final margins into adjacent ranges covering both Louisville-winning and SMU-winning scenarios (and typically a narrow range around a tie); each outcome corresponds to one of those margin ranges rather than an exact score.
Watch final injury reports and starting lineup confirmations, any announced absences or suspensions, last-minute weather updates (for outdoor football), and official travel or facility issues—each can materially shift expected margins and market pricing.
Settlement policies vary by platform; typically the market will be settled according to the platform's rulebook using the official result if the game is completed later, or it may be voided or otherwise resolved if the contest is cancelled or declared incomplete—check KALSHI's event rules for the definitive procedure.