| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 26% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $728 | Trade → |
| Siena | 0% | 37¢ | 51¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Merrimack | 0% | 43¢ | 57¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will be leading at the official halftime of the Siena vs Merrimack game (or whether the half will be tied). First-half markets matter for traders and bettors who prefer shorter time horizons and focus on early-game dynamics rather than full-game outcomes.
Siena and Merrimack are Division I college basketball programs with different recent histories and styles; Siena competes in the MAAC while Merrimack has been transitioning at the D‑I level in recent years and plays a physically aggressive style. First-half results often reflect starting lineups, early-game matchups and coaching game-plans rather than adjustments made later in the game.
Market prices reflect the market’s aggregated expectation of which side will lead at halftime and will move as new information (injuries, starters, tip-off updates) arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal of consensus expectation, remembering that they can shift quickly up to lock time.
The market will lock according to the platform’s rules, typically before or at the scheduled tip-off so no new bets can be placed once the first half begins; check the specific market page on KALSHI for the exact lock time.
The outcome is determined by the official scoreboard at the end of the first half: the team with more points at that official halftime wins, and if the official score is tied the market’s tie outcome resolves as described on the market page.
The tie outcome applies only if the official halftime score between Siena and Merrimack is exactly even; it is distinct from either team leading and settles only on an exact score tie at halftime.
Watch announced starters, late scratches or injuries, last‑minute travel or venue notices, and pregame injury reports; those items often cause the largest price shifts before lock since they directly change expected first-half matchups.
Resolution follows KALSHI’s event rules: if the first half does not reach an official halftime with a verifiable score, markets may be voided or settled per platform policy; consult the market rules for event-specific resolution procedures.