| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke wins by over 40.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 25.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 31.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 37.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 28.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 43.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 34.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which point-spread outcome will occur in the college basketball game Siena at Duke; it lets traders express expectations about the final margin between the teams. Spread markets are useful because they aggregate information about team strength, injuries, and situational factors into tradable outcomes.
Duke is a high-profile ACC program with a history of strong recruiting and depth, while Siena is a mid-major program that typically plays at a different competitive level; non-conference matchups like this are often influenced by matchup, preparation, and home-court advantage. Head-to-head history between these exact teams may be limited, so analysts focus on recent form, roster availability, and style matchup rather than long-term series trends.
Market prices represent the collective expectations of traders about which spread-range outcome will occur; movements in prices reflect new information (injuries, lineup changes, rest) being incorporated. Use the contract specification to map observed price changes to relative market sentiment rather than treating prices as fixed forecasts.
The listed close time is TBD; in most spread markets trading closes at or shortly before the game's scheduled tip-off. Check the specific contract page and KALSHI announcements for the confirmed close time.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete point-spread ranges or margin buckets defined in the contract (e.g., specific ranges of final score margin). Upon final score verification, the single outcome whose range contains the final margin will be declared the winning outcome per the contract specification.
Resolution follows KALSHI's event and force-majeure rules as specified in the contract: markets can be voided, postponed, or resolved according to platform policy if the game is not played within the defined resolution window. Consult the contract terms and KALSHI support for the precise policy.
Watch official injury reports, starter and rotation announcements, travel or illness reports, coaching news (e.g., lineup or strategic changes), and confirmed absences or suspensions—each can materially shift expected margin and market prices.
Contract outcomes are intended to be mutually exclusive and cover all margins; if you think the contract language leaves a boundary ambiguous, refer to the market's resolution rules on the contract page and KALSHI's dispute/resolution procedures for how ties or ambiguities are handled.