| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle scores 10 points first | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn scores 10 points first | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team, Seattle or Auburn, will be the first to reach 10 points in the game. It matters because it isolates early-game performance and can be used to trade on opening drives, starting units, and game tempo.
Outcome depends largely on how each team performs in the opening minutes — who receives the opening kickoff, early offensive play-calling, special teams, and turnover risk. Historical head-to-head data may be limited or not fully comparable across seasons or competition levels, so recent starting lineups, preseason form, and coaching tendencies are often more informative. KALSHI is the listed source and the market close time is TBD on the event page.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders about which team will reach 10 points first and will update as news and in-game information arrive. Low traded volume means prices can be more volatile and move with relatively few trades or new information.
The market settles based on the official game statistics from the event: the first team that is officially credited with at least 10 points during game play. Settlement uses the official gamebook and play-by-play; check the KALSHI event page for the formal settlement rule and any tie or edge cases.
Resolution in near-simultaneous scoring situations is determined by the official scoring sequence and timestamps in the official play-by-play. The platform will follow the official game record to identify which team was recorded as reaching 10 points first.
Pregame roster changes that affect starters (especially quarterbacks, kickers, or return specialists) can materially change expectations for early scoring. Watch official injury reports and team announcements; markets typically react quickly to that information.
Yes, historical first-quarter and opening-drive statistics provide useful context, but interpret them cautiously: sample sizes may be small and rosters/coaching staffs change. Emphasize recent game logs, opponent strength, and the specific context of the matchup (league level, preseason vs. regular season).
If the game does not reach a conclusive state, the market will be settled according to KALSHI's cancellation and voiding policies. Check the event page and the platform's official rules for guidance on market treatment in postponed or canceled games.