| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins 1st half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn wins 1st half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Seattle or Auburn — will be leading at the end of the first half of their matchup. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game performance and are sensitive to pregame information and in-game adjustments.
The contest pits two programs/teams against one another for the first-half advantage; first-half outcomes can diverge from final results because teams often take different strategic approaches early. Historical tendencies such as fast starts, halftime coaching adjustments, and matchup-specific mismatches often influence which side is ahead at intermission.
Prices in this market reflect the exchange’s aggregated view of which side is likeliest to hold the halftime lead and will move as new information (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.) becomes available. Interpret odds as a dynamic summary of market participants’ assessments, not a fixed prediction.
They correspond to: Seattle leading at the end of the first half, Auburn leading at the end of the first half, or the score being tied at the end of the first half; check the market page for exact outcome labels.
Resolution is based on the official end of the first half as recorded by the game’s governing body or official scorer; check the market’s terms for the exact resolution source and any time zone considerations.
Significant late changes typically move the market quickly because they alter perceived first-half strength; traders often react to official reports, coach statements, and verified injury status updates.
Resolution in unusual circumstances follows the platform’s event rules—markets may be voided, postponed, or resolved according to the official game outcome at the point of suspension; consult KALSHI’s dispute and resolution policy for specifics.
Announcements of starting X-players (quarterback/point guard), confirmed injuries or returns, weather updates for outdoor contests, and late-breaking lineup or tactical news are the most common drivers of price movement.