| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 100+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 105+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks how many regular-season wins the Seattle professional baseball team will record this season; it matters because it aggregates public expectations and reacts to roster moves, injuries, and in-season performance.
Seattle's franchise has gone through cycles of contention and rebuilding; offseason acquisitions, player health, and midseason trades typically determine whether a team competes or treads water. Early-season indicators such as rotation stability and run differential often change market sentiment as the campaign unfolds.
Market prices summarize the crowd's current assessment of which win-total outcome is most likely and will update as new information arrives; treat them as a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee.
Each of the seven outcomes corresponds to a distinct, mutually exclusive win total or win-range for the Seattle team as defined by the market. The platform's market page lists the label for each outcome so you can see which exact counts or ranges are being traded.
The market currently shows 'Closes: TBD'; the closure date and any updates will be posted on the market page. Final settlement will use the official regular-season win total recorded by the league for the Seattle team, following the platform's published settlement rules.
Settlement follows official league records: postponed games that are completed count toward the win total, and any league-declared changes to the season will be handled per the platform's contingency rules. Check the market's rulebook and platform announcements for specifics.
Track major roster moves (trades and signings), injuries to starters and relievers, rotation and bullpen depth reports, early-season run differential and offensive trends, and front-office signals such as selling or buying at the trade deadline.
Traders will price in expected impacts of call-ups as reports and performance data arrive; unexpected breakouts can shift market pricing quickly. For settlement, only the league's official regular-season wins count—prospect promotions matter only insofar as they change the final win total.