| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle wins by over 1.5 goals | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 2.5 goals | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | — | $699 | Trade → |
| Saint Louis wins by over 1.5 goals | 12% | 12¢ | 13¢ | — | $405 | Trade → |
| Saint Louis wins by over 2.5 goals | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur for the Seattle at Saint Louis game; it matters because spread markets aggregate market views about the likely margin of victory and offer a way to trade on that expectation.
The market covers a head-to-head matchup between Seattle and Saint Louis in a scheduled league contest; bookmakers and traders set spreads based on team strength, injuries, and matchup specifics. Historical head-to-head trends, recent form and roster moves all feed into the lines, and late-breaking news can shift trader expectations quickly.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which spread bracket will happen; use them as a real-time signal of market sentiment rather than a guarantee of outcome.
Each outcome corresponds to a labeled spread bracket or cover scenario as defined on the market page; settlement is determined by the official final margin of the game, so check the outcome labels on KALSHI for the exact definitions.
The event currently lists the close time as TBD; the platform will publish a closing time (commonly before game kickoff). Trades settle after the official final score is posted and league statistics are confirmed.
Key developments include announced starters or late scratches, injury updates, coaching confirmations, and significant shifts in public or professional betting action—any of these can prompt rapid price movement.
Home-field can affect travel fatigue, crowd influence and familiarity with the playing surface; those effects are typically incorporated into the listed spreads but remain relevant if new information amplifies or diminishes home advantage.
Markets commonly react quickly to credible late reports; major lineup or starter changes tend to produce immediate price adjustments as traders rebalance positions, so monitor official team channels and the market feed for updates.