| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific wins by over 1.5 Points | 49% | 46¢ | 49¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 1.5 Points | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | — | $281 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 11.5 Points | 14% | 14¢ | 20¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 5.5 Points | 33% | 31¢ | 36¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 8.5 Points | 23% | 22¢ | 26¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 10.5 Points | 11% | 15¢ | 20¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 2.5 Points | 43% | 43¢ | 46¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 7.5 Points | 21% | 22¢ | 27¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 4.5 Points | 35% | 35¢ | 40¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 2.5 Points | 38% | 39¢ | 42¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 29¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 10¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 32¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 19¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 25¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pacific wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 16¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread between Seattle and Pacific will resolve; it matters because spread markets encapsulate expectations about the margin of victory rather than just the win/loss outcome.
Background context includes recent head-to-head trends, roster changes, and where the game is played — all of which shape expectations for the margin. Coaching styles, injury reports, and any midweek developments often shift market sentiment in the days and hours before the game.
Prediction market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which spread outcomes are more likely, incorporating public information (injuries, weather, rest) and private sentiment; they are not guarantees of the final margin.
The listed close is TBD; trading typically ends before the official game start time. Check the KALSHI market page for the platform’s final close time for this event.
Settlement is based on the official final margin as reported by the governing league or the market’s designated data source; consult KALSHI’s settlement rules on the event page for exact criteria and tiebreak procedures.
Track injury reports and starting lineup confirmations, official game venue and kickoff time, coach announcements, and any weather or travel notices — these typically drive the largest late movements in spread markets.
Past matchups provide context on stylistic advantages and coaching familiarity, but recent form and current rosters usually have greater weight; use head-to-head history as one input among many rather than a sole predictor.
Outcomes for postponed or canceled games depend on KALSHI’s event rules; typically, markets are either suspended until official rescheduling or settled according to platform-specific cancellation policies — check the market’s rules for this event.