| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 1¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mirassol wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 25¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Santos wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 2¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mirassol wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 2¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the goal-margin (spread) will fall in the Santos at Mirassol match; it matters because spreads summarize market expectations about the relative strength of the two teams and are used to trade views on margin of victory.
Santos is traditionally a higher-profile club with a larger roster and expectations to control matches, while Mirassol is typically a smaller opponent that can be more variable in performance. The specific competition, recent form, squad rotations, and match importance will all shape how traders view the likely spread.
Prices in a spreads market reflect the collective market view about which margin bands are most likely; movement in prices shows how new information (lineups, injuries, weather) is being incorporated by participants.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific range of final score margins (e.g., which side covers which spread band); the market interface shows the numeric thresholds for those bands and the market will settle based on the official full-time goal difference.
The market close is listed as TBD; typically these markets close before kick-off or at a platform-specified deadline—check the event page for the official closing time once it is announced.
Late lineup news can materially shift expectations: a missing striker or key defender usually widens or narrows the expected spread, and markets often react quickly when starters are confirmed or ruled out.
Head-to-head results provide useful context, especially recent meetings and venue-specific trends, but they should be combined with current-season form, injuries, and squad changes rather than relied on in isolation.
Settlement follows the platform's official rules: spreads generally settle on the official full-time score at the end of regular time; postponements or abandonments are handled per the event terms (which may void or reschedule the market)—consult Kalshi's event rules for specifics.