| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlan | 19% | 18¢ | 19¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| San Luis | 60% | 58¢ | 59¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Tie | 24% | 23¢ | 24¢ | — | $775 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which of three outcomes will occur in the San Luis vs Mazatlán soccer match; it matters because market prices aggregate public information about team strength, news, and expectations.
San Luis and Mazatlán are Liga MX clubs with different recent trajectories and geographic bases (San Luis Potosí vs the Pacific coast), and their league position, travel, and squad availability shape match dynamics. Historical form, injuries, and managerial tactics are common drivers in this matchup and help explain how traders update their views over time.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of traders based on available information (lineups, injuries, scheduling, and news); use them as a snapshot of market sentiment while checking official event rules for exact settlement mechanics.
The event lists three outcomes—most commonly home win, draw, and away win—but confirm the exact labels and settlement conditions on the KALSHI event page.
Resolution timing depends on the contract terms specified by the platform; check the event's settlement rules on KALSHI to see whether settlement occurs at the final whistle, includes stoppage time, or treats extra time/penalties differently.
Late team news can shift market sentiment quickly because they change perceived team strength; traders typically react as clubs publish official lineups and injury updates on matchday, which can move prices and liquidity.
Head-to-head history provides context but is less predictive than current form and squad availability; emphasize recent matches, current season trends, and matchday news when evaluating the market.
Settlement policy for postponements or abandonments is set by KALSHI’s contract rules—common outcomes include voiding and refunding positions or carrying settlement to the rescheduled fixture—so consult the event page and any platform announcements for the definitive treatment.