| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks how many regular-season wins San Francisco's professional baseball team will record this season — a way to trade on expectations for the team's on-field performance. It matters because win totals summarize team strength and affect playoff chances and front-office decisions.
The market references San Francisco's primary professional baseball franchise as defined in the event contract; historically, that franchise has cycled between competitive stretches and rebuilding periods, with performance shaped by roster construction, player development, and divisional competition. Seasonal outcomes are driven by player health, roster moves, and the league schedule rather than any single game.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders and update as new information (injuries, trades, performance swings) arrives; interpret them as a continuously updating consensus about likely outcomes, not as fixed predictions.
The event uses the team identity specified in the market's official contract; typically this refers to San Francisco's primary major-league baseball franchise—check the platform's event description for the exact definition used for settlement.
Settlement is based on the official regular-season results for the league year referenced by the contract; postseason games are excluded unless the market explicitly states otherwise, and final settlement uses the league's official standings.
Outcomes correspond to the specific win-total buckets listed by the market; when the league posts the final official win total for the team, the market operator assigns the outcome that matches that official total according to the contract rules.
If the league issues an official determination (e.g., an adjusted official record or cancellation), the market will follow the platform's settlement rules and the league's official record; if no official record exists, the contract's contingency rules determine whether the market is voided or resolved differently.
Monitor injury reports for core starters, trade deadline activity affecting roster talent, emerging or struggling players, changes to the rotation or bullpen roles, and the sequence of opponents on the schedule, as each can materially shift the team's expected win total.