| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 68.5 1H points scored | 46% | 46¢ | 52¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| Over 56.5 1H points scored | 0% | 47¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 74.5 1H points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 62.5 1H points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 71.5 1H points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 65.5 1H points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 80.5 1H points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 59.5 1H points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 77.5 1H points scored | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which first-half total will occur in the San Diego State vs Boise State game; it matters because first-half scoring reflects opening game plans, early tempo, and immediate in-game adjustments that differ from full-game outcomes.
San Diego State and Boise State have distinct team identities that influence early scoring: one program often emphasizes defensive structure and ball control while the other typically favors faster offensive drives. First-half totals are shaped by pregame decisions (starters, play-calling tendencies) and situational factors such as venue, travel, and weather.
Market prices indicate the collective expectation for which first-half total outcome is most likely given available information; movements in price reflect new information (injuries, starter announcements, weather) and shifts in trader sentiment rather than a fixed truth.
The market currently lists its close as TBD on KALSHI; for first-half total markets, platforms commonly stop trading at or just before kickoff and final settlement uses the official halftime score—check the KALSHI page for the definitive closing time as the game approaches.
Those nine outcomes correspond to distinct first-half total options defined by the market (different point thresholds or ranges); each outcome represents a separate possible first-half scoring result that traders can buy or sell.
A quarterback change can materially alter expectations for first-half scoring because backups often change play-calling, reduce downfield risk, and affect tempo and turnover likelihood; traders typically react quickly to starter news, which can shift the market.
Low volume indicates limited liquidity: prices may move sharply on small trades, spreads can be wide, and it may be harder to execute larger positions without impacting the market—use caution, check orderbook depth, and consider limit orders.
Relevant factors include each team’s tendency to start games fast or slow, how often they score on opening drives, comparative turnover and red-zone efficiency early in games, and any recent coaching or schematic changes that affect first-half play-calling.