| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 100+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 105+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations for how many games San Diego's professional baseball team will win this season; it matters because it aggregates public and expert views on the team's overall performance over the season.
Background context includes the team's recent on-field results, offseason roster moves, and the broader competitive landscape of its division, all of which shape season-long win totals. Baseball outcomes are driven by long-term factors like pitching depth and offensive consistency as well as short-term events such as injuries and streaks. The market provides a running measure of how participants update beliefs as news and games unfold.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations for the various win-total outcomes listed by the contract; movement indicates how new information (roster changes, injuries, results) shifts those expectations rather than fixed predictions.
Each of the seven outcomes corresponds to a mutually exclusive resolution bucket defined in the market listing (for example, particular win totals or ranges); the contract will resolve to the single bucket that matches the team's final official win count according to the market's rules.
The market's close date is listed as TBD; typically such markets close either before the final regular-season game or at a specified cutoff and then settle after official league statistics are finalized, so closure timing can determine which games/news are included in traders' expectations.
Resolution depends on the contract specification; many season-win markets use regular-season official win totals only, but you should review the market's resolution rules to confirm whether postseason games are excluded or included.
High-impact events such as the loss or acquisition of a frontline starting pitcher, a proven closer, a breakout or lost-time injury to a core offensive contributor, or a trade that significantly changes depth are the types of developments that typically drive meaningful price movement.
Sharp moves reflect rapid revaluation of season prospects given new information; early- and midseason news can have outsized apparent impact because fewer games have been played, so traders should consider sample size, whether the news is transitory or structural, and how it interacts with the team's remaining schedule.