| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego FC wins by over 1.5 goals | 33% | 32¢ | 33¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| San Diego FC wins by over 2.5 goals | 15% | 14¢ | 15¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Kansas City wins by over 1.5 goals | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | — | $107 | Trade → |
| Kansas City wins by over 2.5 goals | 2% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on the margin (spread) outcome of the San Diego FC at Kansas City match; spread markets are useful for focusing on how large a win or loss is expected rather than just who wins. It matters because spread prices summarize collective expectations about the likely margin and can move as new information arrives.
This is a matchup between San Diego FC and Kansas City, two U.S. professional clubs; comparative strength will reflect recent form, roster changes, coaching decisions, and scheduling. Head-to-head history may be limited if one club has a shorter top‑flight tenure, while the other may have a longer MLS track record; check team pages for season context and injury reports.
Market prices reflect the consensus assessment of which spread outcome traders think is most likely and will update as news (lineups, injuries, weather, travel) arrives. Use prices as a snapshot of market expectations, not an absolute forecast.
It means the market’s official close time has not been set on the page; the exchange will typically close the market at or before kickoff according to its rules, and traders should watch the market page for the announced close time.
The four outcomes partition the range of possible margin results for this specific match into mutually exclusive spread categories defined by the market; exactly which margins belong to each outcome is shown on the market page so consult that breakdown before trading.
Late injury or lineup news often moves the spreads market quickly as traders reassess likely margins; sizable absences or last‑minute changes typically produce larger price shifts closer to kickoff.
Resolution follows the exchange’s official settlement rules; commonly, markets are voided or settled according to a specified rescheduling window — check KALSHI’s resolution policy on the market page for the exact procedure.
Look at recent head‑to‑head results (if any), each team’s home/away splits, goals for and against, injury and suspension lists, travel and rest days, expected starting lineups, and weather/field conditions to form a view on likely margin.