| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | 40% | 38¢ | 40¢ | — | $120 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 31¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phoenix Rising | 0% | 27¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of three outcomes will occur in the San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising match; it matters because market prices aggregate public information and expectations about the game. Traders use the market to express views on likely match results and to react to new information such as lineups or injuries.
San Antonio FC and Phoenix Rising FC are clubs that compete in the USL Championship; each club's recent form, roster changes, and coaching decisions shape expectations for their head-to-head matchups. Historical results between the two teams, travel demands for away clubs, and any recent transfers or injuries provide useful background when evaluating the market.
Market prices are real-time signals reflecting collective expectations based on available information; they update as new facts (lineups, injuries, weather, suspensions) emerge. Use prices as inputs to your own judgment rather than definitive forecasts.
The market typically presents three mutually exclusive match outcomes (for example: home win, draw, away win). Check the specific labels on the market page to confirm how outcomes are defined for this event.
The market close time is listed as TBD; in most sports markets trading closes at or shortly before the official kickoff, but you should monitor the KALSHI market page for the definitive closing time and any updates.
Settlement follows the platform’s event rules: postponed or cancelled matches are usually settled according to the exchange’s published policy (often voided or settled when the match is replayed); whether extra time or penalties count depends on the market’s wording—check the market rules on KALSHI for specifics.
Announcements of the starting XI, confirmation of availability or absence of star players, late injury or suspension updates, and line-up changes close to kickoff are the most market-moving news items.
Head-to-head results provide context but are often a small sample; more weight is typically given to current-season form, recent results, and current squad availability—adjust for venue and any meaningful roster or coaching changes since past meetings.