| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Norman Powell: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Norman Powell: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephon Castle: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephon Castle: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Tyler Herro: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| De'Aaron Fox: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| De'Aaron Fox: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| De'Aaron Fox: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Norman Powell: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| De'Aaron Fox: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephon Castle: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Stephon Castle: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Stephon Castle: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Norman Powell: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Norman Powell: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which three-pointer total outcome will occur in the San Antonio at Miami game; it matters because long-range shooting often swings game outcomes, props, and in-game lines. Traders use it to express views about how many three-pointers both teams will combine to make.
San Antonio and Miami have different offensive identities and personnel that influence three-point volume: one team may rely more on spacing and perimeter attempts while the other mixes inside play with perimeter shooting. League-wide trends, recent form, roster changes, and coaching strategy all create context for expectations in any given matchup.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which three-point bracket is most likely and will update as new information arrives (injuries, starting lineups, news). Use prices to compare your view to the market and to identify where new information might move expectations.
The listed close time is shown on the KALSHI market page (currently TBD); settlement is based on the official game box score provided by the league after the game ends and the specific market rules on the platform.
Each of the 15 outcomes corresponds to a predefined bracket or exact total range for combined made three-pointers; the market description on the event page lists the exact mapping and only the single bracket that contains the final official total will settle as the winning outcome.
A late scratch or reduced minutes for a primary shooter materially lowers expected three-point makes; markets often move quickly on injury news, so monitor official team reports and starting-lineup confirmations before trading or placing orders.
Watch each team’s projected starters and rotation wings, the presence of designated perimeter specialists, expected minutes for bench shooters, and which defenders will be assigned to contest the perimeter — those factors most directly affect three-point volume.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s event rules: if the game is postponed or canceled the market may be voided per platform policy; if overtime is included in the market definition it will count toward the total — check the event description to see whether totals include overtime.