| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Antonio wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on the point-spread outcome for the NBA game between San Antonio and Miami rather than simply which team wins. It matters to participants who want exposure to margin-of-victory scenarios and to those hedging other positions tied to the game.
San Antonio and Miami have different roster construction and coaching philosophies that often produce predictable stylistic contrasts: one team may emphasize development and ball movement while the other focuses on defense and veteran execution. Historical head-to-head results, recent form, and availability of key rotation players all influence expected margins in any given matchup.
Market odds here represent the collective judgement of traders about which spread bucket is most likely to occur and will move as new information (injuries, rotations, rest, betting flow) arrives. Read odds as real-time market expectations, not guarantees of the final result.
Settlement is based on the official final score as reported by the league; overtime scoring is generally included unless the contract text explicitly states otherwise—confirm the market specification on the Kalshi page.
Trader expectations typically adjust quickly when official injury news appears; the market price will reflect that information and may move across spread buckets—check official team injury reports and the market page for timing of any settlement-impacting announcements.
A TBD close means Kalshi has not posted a final trading cutoff yet; exchanges often close spread markets shortly before game start but you should monitor the market page and official Kalshi notifications for the announced close time.
Those 11 outcomes partition possible final point differentials into discrete buckets (for example, ranges favoring one team or the other); consult the market’s outcome descriptions on the Kalshi contract page to see the exact point-differential ranges that correspond to each outcome.
Markets settle using the official final result the exchange specifies in the contract terms—typically the league’s official final score as posted by an authoritative source; check the Kalshi settlement rules on the market page for how post-game score corrections are handled.