| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Devin Vassell: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Devin Vassell: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Devin Vassell: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephon Castle: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Victor Wembanyama: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephon Castle: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many steals will be recorded in the San Antonio at Memphis game and lets traders take positions on different outcome buckets. It matters because steals are a visible measure of defensive activity and can indicate game flow and individual defensive impact.
Steals totals are shaped by both teams' defensive styles, pace of play, and who is on the floor; teams that play faster or deploy aggressive on-ball defense typically generate more opportunities. Historical tendencies (team defensive schemes, turnover rates, and how rotations are managed) provide context, while short-term factors like injuries, rest, and lineup changes shift expectations. This market shows six possible outcomes and currently has a closing time listed as TBD on the Kalshi platform.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation of traders about the final official steals total and will move as new information (lineups, injuries, matchup notes) becomes available. Use prices as a real‑time signal of consensus sentiment, not a guarantee of outcome.
A steal is counted per the NBA's official box score crediting a defensive player with taking possession from the opponent; this market resolves to the final official steals total as published in the NBA box score and per Kalshi's resolution rules on the market page.
Primary ball‑handlers, active on‑ball perimeter defenders, and wings who frequently gamble for passing lanes typically drive steals. Bench defenders who play significant minutes and guards who pressure the ball are also key contributors; consider expected minutes and matchup assignments when evaluating impact.
Foul trouble can reduce minutes for top defenders and lower steal opportunities; a faster pace creates more possessions and chances for steals; overtime extends playing time and usually increases counting stats including steals. Traders should factor these contingencies into expectations.
Monitor official starting lineups, late scratches or injury reports, announced minutes restrictions or load‑management decisions, and any last‑minute tactical notes (e.g., intent to press or matchup changes). Such news often moves markets as it alters who will be on the court and the defensive profile of each team.
The market's close time is listed as TBD—check the Kalshi event page for the official close and any updates. Settlement will follow Kalshi's published rules using the NBA's official box score; the event page links to the resolution policy and final source for verification.