| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Quentin | 90% | 79¢ | 91¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Le Portel | 0% | 7¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on which team will win the single matchup between Saint Quentin and Le Portel; it matters to fans and traders as a way to aggregate expectations about the game outcome. The contract outcome will be determined by the official result of that specific match.
Saint Quentin and Le Portel are professional French basketball clubs with histories of competing in the national league system; matchups between them reflect tactical contrasts, roster moves, and short-term form. Past meetings, recent league performance, and any roster or coaching changes provide useful context but do not guarantee the result of this particular game.
Market prices summarize the crowd’s current assessment of who will win and change as new information arrives; treat prices as a running signal that updates with injuries, rotations, and news rather than a fixed prediction.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; in practice the market typically closes shortly before the official game tip-off—check the KALSHI event page for the final closing timestamp.
This event is a two-outcome market where each side corresponds to one team winning the match (Saint Quentin wins or Le Portel wins); the winning outcome is settled based on the official game result.
Confirmed injuries, suspensions, or announced starting lineup changes typically move the market as traders incorporate their expected impact; late, credible reports tend to cause the largest short-term price shifts.
Yes—home-court status affects travel fatigue, crowd influence, and familiarity with the playing environment; the event listing indicates the official venue, which traders should use when assessing home advantage.
Settlement follows the platform’s official rules and is generally based on the final result after any regulation plus overtime; consult KALSHI’s settlement policy on the event page for exact details.