| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis scores 10 points first | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan scores 10 points first | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team—Saint Louis or Michigan—will record the 10th point first in their matchup; it matters because it isolates early-game dynamics and can move quickly as starters and initial possessions play out.
Saint Louis and Michigan represent two distinct programs whose opening-lineup choices, tempo and recent form shape how quickly either side accumulates early points. First-to-10 markets focus on a narrow slice of the game (typically the opening segment), so historical matchup results, coaching emphasis on pace, and roster availability provide useful background context.
Odds in this market summarize traders' collective expectations about which team will reach 10 points first and change in real time as live events occur. Use odds movements alongside on-court information (starters, early scoring, injuries) to understand shifting sentiment rather than as fixed forecasts.
The market resolves based on the official game record for the designated Saint Louis vs Michigan contest when one team is credited with the 10th point. Whether overtime is included depends on the market contract and platform rules—check the specific KALSHI contract text for this event.
Settlement follows the league’s official scoring after any reviews; if a scoring play is overturned, the official post-review record determines which team reached 10 first. KALSHI typically relies on the governing league’s official statistics for final settlement.
If the contest does not reach the conditions defined in the market, settlement will follow KALSHI’s cancellation and voiding policies described in the market contract; commonly such markets may be voided or settled according to pre-specified rules—confirm the contract text for this event.
No; only officially recorded points from the designated Saint Louis vs Michigan contest as recognized by the league and the market contract count for settlement.
Watch the starting five, early substitution patterns, first possessions and shot selection, free-throw attempts, turnover frequency, and any quick scoring bursts—these items materially affect who reaches 10 first and are quickly reflected in live market prices.