| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ golf major championship wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3+ golf major championship wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4 golf major championship wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market tracks the performance of Rory McIlroy in men's professional golf majors during the 2026 calendar year. It serves as a benchmark for his ability to capture additional titles in the sport's most prestigious events.
Rory McIlroy is one of the most decorated golfers of the modern era, having secured four major championships early in his career. Despite consistent world-class play and frequent top-ten finishes, he has faced a prolonged drought in major championships since 2014, making his performance a constant subject of scrutiny among golf analysts.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of traders regarding McIlroy's potential to break his major championship streak during the 2026 season.
The market includes the four traditional men's professional majors: The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship.
If McIlroy does not participate in a major, he cannot win that specific event, which will be factored into the final outcome of the market.
No, this market is exclusively concerned with the four designated major championships in 2026.
The market covers the four major championships held during the 2026 calendar year, regardless of minor scheduling shifts by the governing bodies.
Winning a fifth major would move McIlroy into an elite tier of historical golf legends and is widely considered the missing piece to solidify his status as an all-time great.